Rolling predictions for the 2015 Rugby Union World Cup.
Expect results, including past predictions, to change thorughout the competition; predictive models and data analysis will be released once the tournament ends.
| Date | Round | Home team | Away team | Predicted winner | Probability of victory | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-09-18 | Pool A | ENG | FIJ | ENG | 0.732373857659 | ENG |
| 2015-09-19 | Pool B | SAF | JAP | SAF | 0.634276488188 | JAP |
| 2015-09-19 | Pool D | IRE | CAN | IRE | 0.694713043176 | IRE |
| 2015-09-19 | Pool D | FRA | ITA | FRA | 0.877051655417 | FRA |
| 2015-09-19 | Pool C | TON | GEO | GEO | 0.545764761934 | GEO |
| 2015-09-20 | Pool B | SAM | USA | SAM | 0.665085948721 | SAM |
| 2015-09-20 | Pool C | NZL | ARG | NZL | 0.818603616866 | NZL |
| 2015-09-20 | Pool A | WAL | URU | WAL | 0.970566298055 | WAL |
| 2015-09-23 | Pool B | SCO | JAP | SCO | 0.656647462445 | SCO |
| 2015-09-23 | Pool D | FRA | ROM | FRA | 0.839870644993 | FRA |
| 2015-09-23 | Pool A | AUS | FIJ | AUS | 0.554213494178 | AUS |
| 2015-09-24 | Pool C | NZL | NAM | NZL | 0.782439218625 | NZL |
| 2015-09-25 | Pool C | ARG | GEO | ARG | 0.86416695714 | ARG |
| 2015-09-26 | Pool B | SAF | SAM | SAF | 0.569232511842 | SAF |
| 2015-09-26 | Pool A | ENG | WAL | ENG | 0.847519881048 | WAL |
| 2015-09-26 | Pool D | ITA | CAN | ITA | 0.61099102201 | ITA |
| 2015-09-27 | Pool B | SCO | USA | SCO | 0.921586771994 | SCO |
| 2015-09-27 | Pool D | IRE | ROM | IRE | 0.689447983061 | IRE |
| 2015-09-27 | Pool A | AUS | URU | AUS | 0.876489622469 | AUS |
| 2015-09-29 | Pool C | TON | NAM | TON | 0.741613806997 | TON |
| 2015-10-01 | Pool D | FRA | CAN | FRA | 0.778673169455 | FRA |
| 2015-10-01 | Pool A | WAL | FIJ | WAL | 0.940938912757 | WAL |
| 2015-10-02 | Pool C | NZL | GEO | NZL | 0.779618281248 | NZL |
| 2015-10-03 | Pool B | SAF | SCO | SAF | 0.541014421459 | SAF |
| 2015-10-03 | Pool A | ENG | AUS | ENG | 0.82081794141 | AUS |
| 2015-10-03 | Pool B | SAM | JAP | SAM | 0.546396918759 | JAP |
| 2015-10-04 | Pool C | ARG | TON | ARG | 0.710900060579 | ARG |
| 2015-10-04 | Pool D | IRE | ITA | IRE | 0.923949603569 | IRE |
| 2015-10-06 | Pool A | FIJ | URU | FIJ | 0.636516601066 | FIJ |
| 2015-10-06 | Pool D | CAN | ROM | ROM | 0.524393367507 | ROM |
| 2015-10-07 | Pool B | SAF | USA | SAF | 0.88891420047 | SAF |
| 2015-10-07 | Pool C | NAM | GEO | GEO | 0.914158268071 | GEO |
| 2015-10-09 | Pool C | NZL | TON | NZL | 0.596147618869 | NZL |
| 2015-10-10 | Pool A | ENG | URU | ENG | 0.890267132396 | ENG |
| 2015-10-10 | Pool A | AUS | WAL | AUS | 0.920940900867 | AUS |
| 2015-10-10 | Pool B | SCO | SAM | SAM | 0.545579310112 | SCO |
| 2015-10-11 | Pool D | FRA | IRE | FRA | 0.63434658308 | IRE |
| 2015-10-11 | Pool D | ITA | ROM | ITA | 0.624779399956 | ITA |
| 2015-10-11 | Pool C | ARG | NAM | ARG | 0.935276842665 | ARG |
| 2015-10-11 | Pool B | USA | JAP | USA | 0.581768757128 | JAP |
| 2015-10-17 | Quart | SAF | WAL | SAF | 0.888634490751 | SAF |
| 2015-10-17 | Quart | NZL | FRA | NZL | 0.782646651449 | NZL |
| 2015-10-18 | Quart | IRE | ARG | IRE | 0.760359511019 | ARG |
| 2015-10-18 | Quart | AUS | SCO | AUS | 0.598909271558 | AUS |
| 2015-10-24 | Semi | NZL | SAF | NZL | 0.887321702844 | NZL |
| 2015-10-25 | Semi | AUS | ARG | AUS | 0.795157948446 | AUS |
| 2015-10-30 | 3&4 | SAF | ARG | ARG | 0.586233659387 | SAF |
| 2015-10-31 | Final | NZL | AUS | NZL | 0.557784137208 | NZL |